Ice Storm Time-line

By: Weather Email
By: Weather Email

8:00AM:
As temperatures have risen above freezing for all locations across NE Kansas we will not see any additional ice accumulations. Here are the total ice accumulations.

Republic Co................0.50 inches
Nemaha Co.................0.25 inches
Brown Co...................0.25 inches
N. Riley Co..................0.25 inches
N. Pottawatomie Co....0.25 inches
Marshall Co.................0.20 inches
Washington................0.15 inches

Conditions will continue to improve and the ice will melt with temperatures above freezing.

6:20AM:
Freezing rain threat is now along and north of hwy 36.
1/2 inch of freezing rain was reported in Republic County. 1/10 to 1/4 inch of freezing rain has been reported from Washington County to Brown County.
Areas south of hwy 36 will continue to warm rapidly over the next few hours.
Jeremy

5:30AM:
Freezing Rain Advisory has been called off early. Areas south of I-70 are no longer expected to see any freezing rain.
Topeka will see chilly rain... but the temperature is just warm enough to avoid freezing.
Roads to the north are icing up though.
At 5:30AM... hwy 36 is partly to mostly ice packed.
At 5:30AM... hwy 75 is partly ice packed north of Holton
At 5:30AM... KTA is wet... with no ice reported.

4:30AM Update:
Highway 36 is beginning to ice over at this time in some area. Travel is becoming very icy for counties along the Nebraska border. If you don't have to travel this morning... please hold off until afternoon. Areas along and south of I-70 have remained ice free so far.

4:10AM:
Storm Report
Marysville.
1/10 inch of freezing rain- still falling

4AM Update:
Freezing rain has stayed confined to areas north of I-70 so far. Temperature at Topeka has hovered just above freezing.

CONCORDIA FRZ RAIN 30
EMPORIA LGT RAIN 36
LAWRENCE LGT RAIN 34
MANHATTAN LGT RAIN 34
OLATHE IND LGT RAIN 34
OLATHE EXE CLOUDY 33
SALINA LGT RAIN 34
TOPEKA BILLARD LGT RAIN 34
TOPEKA FORBES LGT RAIN 35

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
352 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007
...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF AN OTTAWA TO TOPEKA TO MARYSVILLE
LINE...
.A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
TODAY BRINGING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH OF THE
NEBRASKA BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-OTTAWA-
DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-
COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...
MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
352 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH AFTER NOON TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH.
TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30AM:
Rain is falling along and north of I-70 at 3:30AM. My car had a few spots of ice on roof at 3:00AM, but has since melted. Temperatures are hovering right around freezing, with rain falling. Billard Airport has 34 degrees. Forbes Field is 34 degrees. Manhattan is 34 degrees. Concordia is 30 degrees. Falls City, NE is 31 degrees.
Jeremy

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
237 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007

ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CASS-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-DOUGLAS-
GAGE-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LANCASTER-MADISON-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAWNEE-
PIERCE-PLATTE-RICHARDSON-SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-SEWARD-STANTON-
THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBION...AUBURN...BEATRICE...BELLEVUE...
BLAIR...BLOOMFIELD...COLUMBUS...CRETE...DAVID CITY...FAIRBURY...
FALLS CITY...FREMONT...HARTINGTON...LINCOLN...NEBRASKA CITY...
NELIGH...NORFOLK...OMAHA...PAWNEE CITY...PENDER...PIERCE...
PLATTSMOUTH...SCHUYLER...SEWARD...STANTON...TECUMSEH...TEKAMAH...
WAHOO...WAYNE...WEST POINT
237 AM CST SAT DEC 1 2007

.NOW...
WIDESPREAD LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA
THROUGH 6 AM THIS MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS DURING THIS TIME
MAY APPROACH A TENTH OF AN INCH...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THUS TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Freezing Rain Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
941 PM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

.CLOUD COVER SHOULD LIMIT ANY ADDITIONAL COOLING WITH THE
OVERNIGHT TEMPS. WITH TEMPS ALREADY AROUND OR BELOW FREEZING FOR
MOST AREAS...SET UP FOR FREEZING RAIN IS IN PLACE AS STRONG
MOISTURE ADVECTION OCCURS OVER THE SHALLOW COLD AIR. DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 ARE ALREADY POISED TO MOVE NORTH ACROSS
NORTH TX. ONSET OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 09Z.

JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...
LAWRENCE
941 PM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
SATURDAY.

FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN FALLING BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ONE TENTH TO NEAR
A QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 70.

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE AREA WILL BECOME SLICK
AND HAZARDOUS. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8PM Update:
No changes in the timeline.
Saturday morning ice glaze still possible... beginning around 3AM. By noon Saturday the temperature should be well above freezing. A chilly rain is still possible into the afternoon, but the ice chances are confined to the morning.
Jeremy

Latest computer forecast data from the "RUC" or "Rapid Update Cycle". 0900 UTC is 3AM Central Standard Time. Notice that the precipitation moves in with temperatures still below freezing. The first map shows precipitation... the second map is surface temperature. Temperatures aloft(5000 feet) will remain above freezing all night.

5:00PM
Update From Jeremy-
Ice Potential
Emporia - 1/5 inch... before 9AM... melted by 11AM
Topeka - 1/3 inch... before 11AM... melted by Noon
Manhattan - 1/3 inch... before 11AM... melted by Noon
Hiawatha - 1/2 inch... before Noon... melted by 3PM
Seneca - 1/2 inch... before Noon... melted by 3PM
Marysville - 1/2 inch... before Noon... melted by 3PM
JG

4:20PM
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
348 PM CST FRI NOV 30 2007
...PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT.
COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM BUT TEMPERATURES
NEAR THE GROUND WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT
FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AS SATURDAY
PASSES...WITH NORTHERN LOCATIONS REMAINING BELOW FREEZING THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS AND THUS RECEIVING THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS OF
ICE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 AM CST SATURDAY.

FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN FALLING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO TWO TENTHS AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ALONG AN
EMPORIA TO LYNDON TO OTTAWA LINE.

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE AREA WILL BECOME SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:30PM Friday:
Update From Jeremy
Dew Point values in northeast Kansas are around 5 degrees. Low surface moisture is not a major surprise, but it is an ingredient in the forecast. Temperatures tonight may be colder at the surface than previously expected. Previous projections put the overnight low in the upper 20s... it may actually go to the lower 20s or teens. This does not change the freezing rain forecast.
Jeremy

1PM Friday:
Update From Jeremy
Time-line still on track for a Freezing Rain event.
Best chance of ice will be after Midnight... through the early hours of Saturday. South of Interstate 70... this will likely be just a morning event... as temperatures will rise above freezing and continue to rise late in the morning through afternoon. Locations farther north, such as Washington, Marysville, Seneca and Hiawatha... may see ice through early afternoon. The greatest chance of downed limbs and power lines will be in these areas that see the ice later in the day.
Residents north of I-70 should be prepared in case of a power outage late Saturday. Also advise that any errands that are planned for residents north of I-70 should be done Friday.
Send your questions to weather@wibw.com
Jeremy

Ice Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
400 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTRY WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CAUSE FREEZING RAIN TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...MAINLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 35. SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A CONCORDIA TO HOLTON LINE.
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY OVER TO RAIN ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHEAST KANSAS BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN
400 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A CONCORDIA TO CLAY CENTER
TO HOLTON LINE. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH MAY CAUSE ICE COVERED TREE
BRANCHES AND POWER LINES TO FALL...PLAN AHEAD IN CASE POWER
OUTAGES OCCUR. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR VERY HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

FREEZING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY
THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND MUCH OF THE ICE
ACCUMULATION MAY MELT. REMAIN ALERT FOR ANY DOWNED TREE BRANCHES OR
POWER LINES EVEN AFTER THE ICE HAS MELTED.

REMEMBER...AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Freezing Rain Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
400 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...WINTRY WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CAUSE FREEZING RAIN TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...MAINLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 35. SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A CONCORDIA TO HOLTON LINE.
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY OVER TO RAIN ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHEAST KANSAS BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

KSZ026-035>040-302300-
/O.NEW.KTOP.ZR.Y.0001.071201T0600Z-071201T1500Z/
JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...
LAWRENCE
400 AM CST FRI NOV 30 2007

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY.

ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TENTHS TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR AREAS GENERALLY
ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR.

FREEZING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY
THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY AND MUCH OF THE ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO MELT.

TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ONCE FREEZING RAIN BEGINS. TRAVEL IS
DISCOURAGED UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATION IS NOT
EXPECTED TO CREATE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREE BRANCHES OR POWER
LINES...HOWEVER READY IN CASE OF A LOSS OF POWER.


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