NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE NEB...NE KS...NW MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...TSTM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. STRONG INSTABILITY EXISTS OVER THE AREA WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR TSTMS ONCE CONVECTIVE INITIATION OCCURS.
SEVERE HAZARDS POSSIBLE ONCE CAPPING IS OVERCOME. CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE FRONTAL ZONE IS WEAK AND STRONG CAPPING WAS NOTED IN THE 18Z TOP
SOUNDING. THIS INTRODUCES UNCERTAINTY AS TO IF AND WHEN CONVECTIVE
INITIATION WILL OCCUR BUT CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT ON AN INCREASE IN TSTMS ACROSS THIS REGION BETWEEN
21Z-23Z. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED AND A WW MAY BE NEEDED TO COVER
THE SVR THREAT IF AND WHEN IT MATERIALIZES.
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