Archive!!! Forecasting Thursday Night Snow

Archive!!! Forecasting Thursday Night Snow

9PM Update:

2 - 4 inches of snow is still likely.  Radar at 9PM is showing light snow and freezing rain falling in parts of Northeast Kansas at this time.  To see in animated version of SuperCast... go to "Web Weather" and get the latest.  Accumulations will begin after Midnight for most of the area... and last until 7 or 8 AM. 



4:50PM Update

Snowfall reports are now coming in from western Kansas.  Totals are already ranging from 2 to 5 inches along the Colorado border.  This will continue to move east and impact our area later tonight.  No changes to previous updates at this time.  I will have a  list of snowfall reports by 7PM.


3:30PM Update

Updated Snowfall map from 2:15PM.  No significant changes... although it takes Topeka from 3 to 4... and Manhattan from 4 to 3.  Also... notice that the area from the "Heavy Snow Warning" to the south of Emporia is not being handled well by the computer model at this point.  There is still some uncertainty... but the 2 to 4 inch range still seems strong for Northeast Kansas.  Will update the concerns to the south later in the evening.



No changes from the 2:15PM update for Northeast Kansas.

The National Weather Service has just issued a "Heavy Snow Warning" for areas to the south of Emporia.  Eureka and El Dorado are included.  About 7 inches of snow are possible in that region.  Any travel south on KTA on Friday morning should be prepared for the heaviest of the snowfall. 


2:15PM Update

Forecast Snowfall.  Still looking for 2 -4 Inches of snowfall.  Possible to see isolated locations with slightly more.  More discussion below.


1:30PM Update Thursday:

Snow is in progress in western Kansas at this time... and will arrive in Northeast Kansas by evening.  The greatest accumulation will be later... likely after Midnight.

Evening "Rush Hour" should be without snowfall.  Of course... with temperatures below freezing... and old snow still packed on many roads...  caution is urged due to slick spots, but no new snow accumulation yet expected by 5PM.  Road conditions will deteriorate late tonight and the Friday morning "Rush Hour" is likely to include falling snow.  This snow may be heavy at times with low visibility.  It is recommended to give yourself extra time for the morning drive... and of course check in with Candice on Friday morning for a radar update.  Roads are likely to be snow-packed much of Friday morning and afternoon.

Here are two of the latest projections we have on the developing snowstorm.

The first image is from the "Rapid Update" forecasting computer model.  The time shown in Midnight tonight.  The area of darker green in western Kansas shows snow of 1 - 2 inches per hour.  In the eastern part of the state... this would be lighter snowfall. 





















This next image is for Friday morning.  This is another computer model image... but notice the areas of yellow that have now spread into Northeast Kansas.  This represents 2 to 4 inches of morning snowfall.

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